📐 Poisson: λ dom=1.93 λ ext=0.71 → P(Over 1.5)=73.6% | 📊 Cote 1.36 → Prob implicite 0% | ⚠️ Value +0% | 📈 Forme: SE Palmeiras 2.3b/m, EC Bahia 1.5b/m | 🤝 H2H: 1.6 buts/match (5 conf.)