📐 Poisson: λ dom=1.63 λ ext=0.78 → P(Over 1.5)=69.3% | 📊 Cote 1.44 → Prob implicite 0% | ⚠️ Value +0% | 📈 Forme: EC Vitória 1b/m, Chapecoense AF 1.2b/m | 🤝 H2H: 2 buts/match (1 conf.)