📐 Poisson: λ dom=1.29 λ ext=1.14 → P(Over 1.5)=69.6% | 📊 Cote 1.44 → Prob implicite 0% | ⚠️ Value +0% | 📈 Forme: EC Bahia 1.5b/m, Mirassol FC 0.9b/m | 🤝 H2H: 3.7 buts/match (3 conf.)