📐 Poisson: λ dom=0.93 λ ext=1.3 → P(Over 1.5)=65.2% | 📊 Cote 1.53 → Prob implicite 0% | ⚠️ Value +0% | 📈 Forme: Chapecoense AF 1.2b/m, CA Paranaense 1.8b/m | 🤝 H2H: 2 buts/match (1 conf.)