📐 Poisson: λ dom=1.12 λ ext=1.41 → P(Over 1.5)=71.8% | 📊 Cote 1.39 → Prob implicite 0% | ⚠️ Value +0% | 📈 Forme: EC Bahia 1.2b/m, CR Flamengo 1.6b/m | 🤝 H2H: 1.6 buts/match (5 conf.)