📐 Poisson: λ dom=1.96 λ ext=0.72 → P(Over 1.5)=74.4% | 📊 Cote 1.34 → Prob implicite 0% | ⚠️ Value +0% | 📈 Forme: Arsenal FC 1.6b/m, Leeds United FC 1.2b/m | 🤝 H2H: 4.5 buts/match (2 conf.)