📐 Poisson: λ dom=1.65 λ ext=1.28 → P(Over 0.5 1H)=73.2% | 📊 Cote 1.37 → Prob implicite 0% | ⚠️ Value +0% | 📈 Forme: Chelsea FC 1.5b/m, AFC Bournemouth 1.5b/m | 🤝 H2H: 2.3 buts/match (4 conf.)