📐 Poisson: λ dom=1.14 λ ext=1.3 → P(Over 1.5)=70% | 📊 Cote 1.43 → Prob implicite 0% | ⚠️ Value +0% | 📈 Forme: Everton FC 1b/m, Chelsea FC 2.3b/m | 🤝 H2H: 1.5 buts/match (4 conf.)