📐 Poisson: λ dom=1.65 λ ext=1.3 → P(Over 0.5 1H)=73.5% | 📊 Cote 1.36 → Prob implicite 0% | ⚠️ Value +0% | 📈 Forme: Newcastle United FC 1.8b/m, Aston Villa FC 1.7b/m | 🤝 H2H: 2.5 buts/match (4 conf.)