📐 Poisson: λ dom=0.87 λ ext=1.51 → P(Over 1.5)=68.6% | 📊 Cote 1.46 → Prob implicite 0% | ⚠️ Value +0% | 📈 Forme: Nottingham Forest FC 0.9b/m, Arsenal FC 1.7b/m | 🤝 H2H: 1.5 buts/match (4 conf.)