📐 Poisson: λ dom=0.64 λ ext=1.35 → P(Over 1.5)=58.9% | 📊 Cote 1.7 → Prob implicite 0% | ⚠️ Value +0% | 📈 Forme: Watford FC 0.9b/m, Burnley FC 1.2b/m | 🤝 H2H: 3 buts/match (2 conf.)