📐 Poisson: λ dom=1.44 λ ext=1.28 → P(Over 1.5)=75.4% | 📊 Cote 1.33 → Prob implicite 0% | ⚠️ Value +0% | 📈 Forme: Derby County FC 0.9b/m, Wrexham AFC 1.4b/m | 🤝 H2H: 2.5 buts/match (2 conf.)