📐 Poisson: λ dom=1.3 λ ext=1.23 → P(Over 1.5)=71.7% | 📊 Cote 1.4 → Prob implicite 0% | ⚠️ Value +0% | 📈 Forme: Cardiff City FC 1.3b/m, Watford FC 0.9b/m | 🤝 H2H: 2.5 buts/match (2 conf.)