📐 Poisson: λ dom=1.11 λ ext=1.29 → P(Over 1.5)=69.1% | 📊 Cote 1.45 → Prob implicite 0% | ⚠️ Value +0% | 📈 Forme: Stoke City FC 1.7b/m, Middlesbrough FC 1.8b/m | 🤝 H2H: 2.3 buts/match (4 conf.)