📐 Poisson: λ dom=1.39 λ ext=1.22 → P(Over 1.5)=73.2% | 📊 Cote 1.37 → Prob implicite 0% | ⚠️ Value +0% | 📈 Forme: Queens Park Rangers FC 1.2b/m, Derby County FC 0.9b/m | 🤝 H2H: 3 buts/match (4 conf.)