📐 Poisson: λ dom=1.27 λ ext=0.97 → P(Over 1.5)=65.4% | 📊 Cote 1.53 → Prob implicite 0% | ⚠️ Value +0% | 📈 Forme: Watford FC 0.8b/m, Charlton Athletic FC 0.8b/m | 🤝 H2H: 1.5 buts/match (2 conf.)