📐 Poisson: λ dom=1.98 λ ext=0.74 → P(Over 1.5)=75.1% | 📊 Cote 1.33 → Prob implicite 0% | ⚠️ Value +0% | 📈 Forme: SS Lazio 1.2b/m, AC Monza 0.9b/m | 🤝 H2H: 3.5 buts/match (2 conf.)