📐 Poisson: λ dom=1.24 λ ext=1.29 → P(Over 1.5)=71.8% | 📊 Cote 1.39 → Prob implicite 0% | ⚠️ Value +0% | 📈 Forme: AC Milan 1.6b/m, Atalanta BC 1.1b/m | 🤝 H2H: 2.8 buts/match (4 conf.)