📐 Poisson: λ dom=1.86 λ ext=1.18 → P(Over 0.5 1H)=74.6% | 📊 Cote 1.34 → Prob implicite 0% | ⚠️ Value +0% | 📈 Forme: AS Monaco FC 1.8b/m, Toulouse FC 1.9b/m | 🤝 H2H: 2.3 buts/match (4 conf.)