📐 Poisson: λ dom=1.44 λ ext=1.57 → P(Over 0.5 1H)=74.2% | 📊 Cote 1.35 → Prob implicite 0% | ⚠️ Value +0% | 📈 Forme: FC Lorient 1.2b/m, AS Monaco FC 1.9b/m | 🤝 H2H: 4 buts/match (2 conf.)