📐 Poisson: λ dom=1.61 λ ext=1.48 → P(Over 0.5 1H)=75.1% | 📊 Cote 1.33 → Prob implicite 0% | ⚠️ Value +0% | 📈 Forme: Le Mans FC 1.6b/m, Toulouse FC 1.9b/m