📐 Poisson: λ dom=1.17 λ ext=1.26 → P(Over 1.5)=69.8% | 📊 Cote 1.43 → Prob implicite 0% | ⚠️ Value +0% | 📈 Forme: Le Havre AC 0.8b/m, AJ Auxerre 1.7b/m | 🤝 H2H: 2.5 buts/match (4 conf.)