📐 Poisson: λ dom=1.22 λ ext=1.77 → P(Double Chance X2)=73.3% | 📊 Cote 1.36 → Prob implicite 0% | ⚠️ Value +0% | 📈 Forme: Fortuna Sittard 1.7b/m, FC Twente '65 2.2b/m | 🤝 H2H: 3.3 buts/match (4 conf.)