📐 Poisson: λ dom=2.16 λ ext=0.87 → P(Over 0.5 1H)=74.4% | 📊 Cote 1.34 → Prob implicite 0% | ⚠️ Value +0% | 📈 Forme: FC Utrecht 1.4b/m, Willem II Tilburg 0.8b/m | 🤝 H2H: 5 buts/match (2 conf.)