📐 Poisson: λ dom=1.51 λ ext=1.25 → P(Over 1.5)=76.2% | 📊 Cote 1.31 → Prob implicite 0% | ⚠️ Value +0% | 📈 Forme: SBV Excelsior 2.2b/m, FC Groningen 2.1b/m | 🤝 H2H: 3.5 buts/match (2 conf.)