📐 Poisson: λ dom=1.71 λ ext=1.29 → P(Over 0.5 1H)=74.1% | 📊 Cote 1.35 → Prob implicite 0% | ⚠️ Value +0% | 📈 Forme: SC Heerenveen 1.6b/m, SBV Excelsior 2b/m | 🤝 H2H: 3 buts/match (2 conf.)