📐 Poisson: λ dom=2.24 λ ext=1.12 → P(Over 2.5)=64.3% | 📊 Cote 1.55 → Prob implicite 0% | ⚠️ Value +0% | 📈 Forme: NEC 1.4b/m, Fortuna Sittard 1.6b/m | 🤝 H2H: 4.5 buts/match (4 conf.)