📐 Poisson: λ dom=1.6 λ ext=0.97 → P(Over 1.5)=72.5% | 📊 Cote 1.38 → Prob implicite 0% | ⚠️ Value +0% | 📈 Forme: Sparta Rotterdam 1.6b/m, Willem II Tilburg 0.8b/m | 🤝 H2H: 3.5 buts/match (2 conf.)