📐 Poisson: λ dom=1.13 λ ext=1.64 → P(Over 1.5)=76.3% | 📊 Cote 1.31 → Prob implicite 0% | ⚠️ Value +0% | 📈 Forme: FC Groningen 2.7b/m, AFC Ajax 2.8b/m | 🤝 H2H: 3.5 buts/match (4 conf.)