📐 Poisson: λ dom=1.76 λ ext=1.51 → P(Over 0.5 1H)=77.1% | 📊 Cote 1.3 → Prob implicite 0% | ⚠️ Value +0% | 📈 Forme: FC Utrecht 1.7b/m, NEC 1.4b/m | 🤝 H2H: 2.3 buts/match (4 conf.)