📐 Poisson: λ dom=1.1 λ ext=1.01 → P(Over 1.5)=62.2% | 📊 Cote 1.61 → Prob implicite 0% | ⚠️ Value +0% | 📈 Forme: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1.5b/m, Athletic Club 1.2b/m | 🤝 H2H: 2.5 buts/match (4 conf.)