📐 Poisson: λ dom=0.96 λ ext=1.51 → P(Over 1.5)=70.5% | 📊 Cote 1.42 → Prob implicite 0% | ⚠️ Value +0% | 📈 Forme: Deportivo Alavés 2b/m, Club Atlético de Madrid 2.5b/m | 🤝 H2H: 1.5 buts/match (4 conf.)