📐 Poisson: λ dom=2.25 λ ext=1.16 → P(1X2 Domicile)=61% | 📊 Cote 1.64 → Prob implicite 0% | ⚠️ Value +0% | 📈 Forme: Real Madrid CF 2.6b/m, Villarreal CF 1.9b/m | 🤝 H2H: 2.8 buts/match (4 conf.)