📐 Poisson: λ dom=1.5 λ ext=1.44 → P(Over 0.5 1H)=73.3% | 📊 Cote 1.36 → Prob implicite 0% | ⚠️ Value +0% | 📈 Forme: Elche CF 1b/m, RC Celta de Vigo 0.8b/m | 🤝 H2H: 3.5 buts/match (2 conf.)