📐 Poisson: λ dom=2.42 λ ext=1.03 → P(Over 2.5)=65.9% | 📊 Cote 1.52 → Prob implicite 0% | ⚠️ Value +0% | 📈 Forme: Villarreal CF 1.9b/m, Elche CF 0.8b/m | 🤝 H2H: 3.5 buts/match (2 conf.)