📐 Poisson: λ dom=1.16 λ ext=1.21 → P(Over 1.5)=68.6% | 📊 Cote 1.46 → Prob implicite 0% | ⚠️ Value +0% | 📈 Forme: Valencia CF 1.3b/m, Athletic Club 1.2b/m | 🤝 H2H: 1.3 buts/match (4 conf.)