📐 Poisson: λ dom=0.98 λ ext=1.95 → P(Over 0.5 1H)=73.2% | 📊 Cote 1.37 → Prob implicite 0% | ⚠️ Value +0% | 📈 Forme: Valencia CF 1.3b/m, Real Madrid CF 2.6b/m | 🤝 H2H: 3 buts/match (4 conf.)