📐 Poisson: λ dom=1.62 λ ext=1.08 → P(Over 1.5)=75% | 📊 Cote 1.33 → Prob implicite 0% | ⚠️ Value +0% | 📈 Forme: FC Arouca 1.8b/m, CF Estrela da Amadora 1.5b/m | 🤝 H2H: 2.3 buts/match (4 conf.)