📐 Poisson: λ dom=1.22 λ ext=1.16 → P(Over 1.5)=68.6% | 📊 Cote 1.46 → Prob implicite 0% | ⚠️ Value +0% | 📈 Forme: Moreirense FC 0.9b/m, Gil Vicente FC 0.5b/m | 🤝 H2H: 2.8 buts/match (4 conf.)