📐 Poisson: λ dom=1.25 λ ext=1.2 → P(Over 1.5)=70% | 📊 Cote 1.43 → Prob implicite 0% | ⚠️ Value +0% | 📈 Forme: Rio Ave FC 0.4b/m, CD Nacional 1.4b/m | 🤝 H2H: 3.8 buts/match (4 conf.)