📐 Poisson: λ dom=1.3 λ ext=1.07 → P(Over 1.5)=68.5% | 📊 Cote 1.46 → Prob implicite 0% | ⚠️ Value +0% | 📈 Forme: FC Alverca 0.9b/m, Casa Pia AC 0.7b/m | 🤝 H2H: 3 buts/match (2 conf.)